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2024-12-14 00:37:21

CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.All localities have actively deployed resources to further support mergers and acquisitions and guide them to gather in a "new" way. Since this year, there have been frequent policies to support mergers and acquisitions of enterprises, such as Eight Measures on Deepening science and technology innovation board's Reform, Serving Technological Innovation and Developing New Productivity, and Opinions on Deepening Market Reform of Mergers and Acquisitions of Listed Companies. At the same time, various localities have successively issued relevant rules or carried out special activities, so that mergers and acquisitions of enterprises have a direction and confidence. According to the reporter, up to now, Shanghai, Jiangxi, Sichuan, Shenzhen, Tianjin and other places have issued relevant documents to support enterprises to carry out mergers and acquisitions; Shanxi, Beijing, Hubei, Hunan, Qingdao and other places "answer questions" for enterprises' mergers and acquisitions through forums or training meetings. According to Tian Lihui, dean of the Institute of Financial Development of Nankai University, there are three major trends in local support policies. First, the logic of industrial synergy is constantly strengthening; Second, continue to improve the efficiency of M&A services and regulatory inclusiveness; The third is to persist in strengthening risk prevention. Generally speaking, with the support of policies, a number of high-quality industrial M&A cases are expected to land. Driven by multiple favorable factors, the M&A market is becoming more and more active. (Securities Daily)The tenth batch of national procurement officially opened, and the number of enterprises and varieties involved reached a record high. The tenth batch of centralized drug procurement organized by the state officially accepted the application materials of enterprises at 8: 00 this morning at No.398 Zhanyuan Road, Nanqiao New Town, Fengxian District, Shanghai. This centralized procurement involved 62 varieties and 263 product specifications, and the number of enterprises and varieties involved reached a record high. Among them, 33 enterprises competed for nine short-listed oral sustained-release formulations of sitagliptin. There are also a number of varieties that are billions in the market of public hospitals, such as doxorubicin hydrochloride liposome injection, cefoperazone injection, piperacillin injection, compound α -ketoacid oral sustained-release dosage form, norepinephrine injection and aspirin oral sustained-release dosage form. The sales scale in sample hospitals last year all exceeded 2 billion yuan. Hengrui Pharma, Kelun Pharmaceutical, Unacon and Zhengda Tianqing participated with many varieties. Note: According to the tenth batch of national adoption documents released before, the tenth batch of national adoption rules have changed a lot, such as canceling the protection mechanism of 50% price reduction and increasing the fuse recovery mechanism by 1.8 times, and the number of B-certified enterprises affects the number of final finalists.


In the UK, the RICS house price difference in November was positive 25, the highest since September 2022, and in October it was positive 16.18 shares were rated by brokers, and Yuhetian's target increased by 54.72%. On December 11th, a total of 18 shares were rated by brokers, and 6 of them announced their target prices. According to the highest target price, Yuhetian, Steady Medical Care and Fulongma ranked in the top, with increases of 54.72%, 19.96% and 17.62% respectively. Judging from the direction of rating adjustment, the ratings of 12 stocks remain unchanged and 6 stocks are rated for the first time. In addition, one stock attracted the attention of many brokers, and Hagrid Communications was ranked in the top number, with two brokers rating it respectively. Judging from the Wind industry to which the rated stocks are bought, the number of rated stocks for technical hardware and equipment, capital goods and materials II is the largest, with 4, 3 and 2 respectively.Zhong Xuegao's subsidiary was forced to execute 16.62 million yuan. According to the legal litigation information, recently, Zhongmao (Shanghai) Food Technology Co., Ltd. added a piece of information about the person to be executed, with the execution target of 16.62 million yuan. The enforcement court is the Yangpu District People's Court in Shanghai. Zhongmao (Shanghai) Food Technology Co., Ltd. was established in June 2020. The legal representative is Wang Keqin, with a registered capital of RMB 10 million, and it is wholly owned by Zhong Xuegao Food (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. Tianyan risk information shows that the company has more than 20 pieces of information about executed persons, and the total amount of execution exceeds 31.62 million yuan. In addition, there are also a number of consumption restriction orders, untrustworthy executed persons (Lao Lai) and final case information.


CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.Warnick, chief financial officer of Robinhood, reduced his holdings of $6.02 million shares, and Jason Warnick, chief financial officer of Robinhood Markets Inc, reported an insider stock transaction to the US Securities and Exchange Commission, reducing his holdings of $6.02 million shares. Robinhood's share price has risen by 15% in the past month.Australia's 3-year government bond yield increased, and Australia's unemployment rate decreased.

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